Tuesday, October 8, 2013

10/8 IL Migration Report

Hey Illinois,

So today, it seems like the winds have again taken command of the skies. Southerly winds rule all but the southernmost parts of the state, and as a result of this, migration is light throughout most of the state. Only these southernmost reaches of Illinois are experiencing moderate migration, as the winds are too weak there to be much of a headwind. Overall, though, tonight will definitely be a bit quieter than yesterday.

Looking forward a few days, winds are forecast to take on an easterly tinge tomorrow, and then return to a southerly orientation by Thursday. So not much that jumps out at us as favorable migratory conditions, but
we'll see what happens.

Cool. Bon voyage, everyone.

Monday, October 7, 2013

10/7 IL Migration Report

The Prairie State is graced with heavy
migration tonight.

Hey folks!

So again, in spite of unfavorable southwesterly winds tonight, birds are moving at moderate to heavy concentrations. The radar, as last night, is green in many places in Illinois, showing that the birds are racing the cold weather south. This means tomorrow, influxes of thrushes, warblers, and sparrows should be occurring tomorrow. As yesterday, keep an eye out for migrant raptors and any diving ducks, which should be appearing in Illinois soon. Predict what you'll be seeing here.
Tonight's should-be
unfavorable winds.

On the wind forecast, winds are predicted to remain dominated by southerly flow at least through Wednesday, but to echo yesterday, birds seem to be migrating in just about any conditions. Because of this, it's hard to say which days will be conducive to migration. But we could also predict that there will be moderate to heavy movements every night...and I'm okay with that!

Cool. Good luck everybody!

Sunday, October 6, 2013

10/6 (and a little 10/5) IL Migration Report

Tonight's unexpected but not unwelcome
migration.

Hey folks!

So at this point, we have reached an important threshold. It is a point that I will, in my high level of scientific sophistication, term "birds-too-sick-of-sitting-around-not-to-migrate-ism". Whether or not this is actually the case, it's starting to get cold. And birds are responding. Even Saturday night, when winds were predominantly southerly throughout much of the state, moderate migration was occurring. Tonight, a similar story is developing; winds are predominantly westerly with an unfavorable southerly tinge to it in many places. Regardless of that, the radar is even green in some places, indicating moderate to heavy migration! Looking at specific radar stations around Illinois, we can see the migrants are moving southeast with the westerly winds. 

So what could be the causes of this? In the realm of insectivores, which most neotropical migrants
are, food gets scarcer and scarcer as average temperatures drop. It also takes much more energy to maintain body heat during the night. In effect, if migrants don't make it south, they're daily energy demands double at a time when energy sources are halving or disappearing entirely.
Red colors means the birds are moving away from the
radar station, blue means they are moving toward, and
the grayish division between the two is perpendicular
to the birds' direction of travel

I think this sense of urgency has been causing the migration seen the past couple of nights. We still have a lot to learn about migration, but an interesting question is this: would migrants be moving in such large numbers tonight if the temperatures were warmer? It's hard to know for sure.

Regardless, expect influxes of about everything possible tomorrow, throughout the state. This means the last of the thrushes, later-migrating warblers like Yellow-rumpeds, Pine, Palm, and Orange-crowned, and especially sparrows. Expect peak influxes of Nelson's Sparrow to continue at least for the next week. Raptors should also be a big part of the story tomorrow, with falcons, later hawks, and hopefully that White-tailed Kite in Wisconsin moving south to our hawkwatches. Anytime now, as our Indian Summer comes to a melancholy close, waterfowl variety will begin growing with the arrival of diving ducks back into our state.
Tonights winds, which appear to not be
unfavorable enough!

Overall, according to the radar, the going's good in Illinois. The wind forecast, which predicts westerly winds through tomorrow and then southerly winds, seem to be becoming less relevant as birds have been migrating regardless of these conditions, so here's hoping for the best.

Awesome. Good luck, everyone.

Friday, October 4, 2013

10/4 IL Migration Report

Hey everybody,

Tonight, as last night, sees scant migration over much of Illinois. With the exception of northeasterly IL which may be experiencing some light reverse migration tonight, southerly winds are domineering migrants out of the sky. So that's all for tonight.

Looking ahead a few days, it looks like the combination of inbound storm fronts and southerly winds are set to keep birds on the ground at least through Sunday.

Not too much to write about then. Just note that tomorrow during the day, as the large storm front visible on the radar moves east, westerly winds will move into the area. These winds will become southerly again through Saturday night, but until then there's always the chances of western vagrants.

Cool. Have a great night, all.

Thursday, October 3, 2013

10/3 IL Migration Report

Tonight's winds. Click to view
live.
Hey all!

So one thing I'd like to clear up real quick is what happened last night. To start, winds, fairly strong and southerly, were not conducive to migration. But as mentioned yesterday, there was noise in the radar indicating light migration over much of state, and even some moderate migration along the lakefront. So why were birds still migrating? As of yet, I still don't have a great explanation. I can only tell you that winds were a little weaker and more easterly near the lakefront, which may have caused the slightly heavier movements observed there. Regardless, as I stated in my note in the IOS's Meadowlark, sometimes, nature breaks the rules. In this case, it gave us some new birds, and that's fine by me. Anyway, on to tonight...

Tonight's paltry migration
I have a similar story tonight to last night's, but in the case the radar really isn't lighting up much at all. Various storm systems combined with relatively strong southerly winds are making tonight the
wrong night to migrate, and the birds seem to be heeding this.

Looking forward at the wind forecast, we still can't quite see the light at the end of the metaphorical tunnel...southerly winds are still forecast to dominate the Prairie State at least through Saturday. I'll keep you all up to date.

Cool. That's all for now, folks.

Wednesday, October 2, 2013

10/2 IL Migration Report

Tonight's unfavorable winds
Hi friends,

Short report again tonight. As far as Illinois is concerned, Southerly winds are dominating the skies right now, which means the birds aren't. Only light to negligible migration is occurring tonight (although there is some bird-looking noise on the radar over the Chicago area, I'm not sure it's birds). So that's that.

Skies are mostly bird-less over
most of Illinois, except for the
enigmatic noise over Chicago.
Looking then at the wind forecast, the prospects aren't great. For as long as the Intellicast forecast goes, Illinois is host to unfavorable southerly winds; expect low migration as a result at least through Friday, if not longer. Bummer.

At least there are plenty of migrants around! Here's to that, everybody.

Tuesday, October 1, 2013

10/1 IL Migration Report

Hey everybody!

Slowly but surely, the cold front mentioned yesterday is heading our way from northwest of us, with favorable northerly wind not far behind (get a sneak peak at the front here: http://bit.ly/ZmucFO). Unfortunately, it appears that the front is moving slower/a little behind schedule from yesterday's forecast; ata this point, it seems likely that the front and its northerly winds will hardly make it south of the latitude of Chicago. As a result, migration should be mostly restricted to areas north of this line. Looking at the radar (http://bit.ly/17tyHz1 --excuse the slight prematurity of this post), migration is moderate to heavy on the northern side of the front; this should be expected in areas surpassed by the front tonight. Cool!

Tomorrow, the high pressure system causing these winds is forcast to pass by to the north of us. For this reason, our position in the influence of its counterclockwise-revolving winds will change, and by tomorrow afternoon winds in IL are forecast to be easterly in the north and southerly in the south. Winds are forecast (http://bit.ly/ZxyRq6) to remain predominantly southerly at least through Thursday, so bear with me again until these unfavorable conditions disappear.

Alrighty, folks. That's all for now!